The call is to switch long.
I will trade spx at 1.75x.
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Trading Blogs
About Me
- Forecaster
- I originally developed this stock market timing system to trade leveraged mutual funds within a retirement account. It appeared that traditional "buy and hold" strategies would not generate the returns I desired in the time frame I needed. I wanted a mechanical trading system that took the emotion out of making decisions about the future moves of the markets. This system gives a "end of day" call for the next days market direction. On some days it requires some input from the trader as the signal may be dependent on the closing price of a particular index. It can be traded using etf's or mutual funds. This blog is for entertainment purposes and to track the development of this system. It is not intended to be used as advice. Use at your own risk!
I was wondering if you had some time to discuss your system in more detail? I was looking to develop my own market timing system and would really appreciate it if i could pick your brain. I am not asking for your secret formula or system details but just an overview of how you started your research and what you base your final decisions on.
ReplyDeleteThanks Brandon
Hi Brandon, Generally timing systems try to predict market movements, up or down. Some are longer term, others short term. Mine is basically day to day...but can stay on one side for a number of consecutive days. Some systems are trend following, some are contrarian in nature...it depends on your trading style or timing premise.
ReplyDeleteI had been looking at timing systems and subscribing to some for a few years. I had an idea that I thought was fairly original, and am developing a system from it...This blog is a form of documentation for me. I would suggest that you diversify and follow a few systems,whether they are your own or someone else's, as this will even your returns.
Back testing is important but tricky as it is relatively easy to fit your system to historic data and then not perform well in real time. My advce is to study the market movements and existing market technical indicators....then derive an idea that is logical in predicting market movements and create rules to define the entry and exits.
http://www.investopedia.com/university/tradingsystems/default.asp
You might find this link useful depending on your current level of expertise.